Introduction
Bayern Munich's start to the campaign has not met the high standards they set for themselves. Although they have won both their games in Europe, surprisingly, their domestic results have not painted a pretty picture. Currently sitting in fifth, the Internation break has come at a perfect time for Julian Nagelsmann to figure solutions for their problems.
This article will examine Bayern's current issues and its most recent performances.
(Though pressure mounts on the German coach, rumors of a potential sacking have been dismissed by the hierarchy)
Performance Analysis
Results do not fully reveal a team's performance. As mentioned in the previous write-up, comparing the xG (expected goals scored) and xGA (expected goals conceded) can be a dependable indicator.
The data suggest that Bayern has started the season strongly, as shown by the gap between the xG and xGA. However, the margin of difference has decreased since game six (VS Inter Milan).
The graph indicates underperformance in tangible output for which the manager cannot be held accountable. It is illustrated further by the Munich side ranking first in xG domestically (17.7). The team ranked second (Borussia Mönchengladbach) has an xG of only 12.2. Nevertheless, compared to the opening nine games of their previous season (in all competitions), Bayern had an xG of 25.2. This season, it totals 20.9.
This dip in chance creation can be due to the team's latest tactical adjustments. In the absence of a recognized striker in the lineup, Naglesmann has implemented a fluid attacking system. No player is relied on to be the sole outlet of goals. Instead, the responsibility is distributed across all attackers.
The back line has been underwhelming as well. Compared to the prior season, Bayern has conceded 2.3 more expected goals this campaign. Opponents have been clever in exploiting the vast areas left on the flanks by the narrow defensive structure.
The game against Barcelona is a prime example. Here are a few chances the Spanish side generated.
Marcos Alonso finds space on the left wing as the Bayern right winger has failed to track back. He whips a ball into the box where the former Munich striker heads the ball. Although Neuer saved the attempt, it was a dangerous chance to concede.
Raphinha receives a pass on the right, and despite dribbling past Alphonso Davies, the ball lands on Gavi's feet on the right. With loads of time to pick a pass, he spots Lewandowski on the far post, another chance created from the wings.
Individual errors have also led to the Reds gifting plenty of opportunities to the opposition. In a 1-1 draw against Borussia Mönchengladbach, Upemecano misjudged a clearance that Marcus Thuram collects. He drives with it for around 50 yards, after which he slots it in.
In their game against VfB Stuttgart, Bayern Munich conceded their first goal from a mistake by the left-back.
Alphonso Davies receives a pass from Kimmich and is immediately under pressure. Losing his composure, he plays a risky pass to Musiala on the left, who is immediately closed down. Possession turns over, and Stuttgart is on the attack.
The ball is played to the striker (Chris Fuhrich) and scores after tucking the ball away to the bottom left corner, past Neuer.
Conclusion
All in all, the situation at Bayern is not alarming, yet. The expected goals data argue that Bayern's performances have not reflected their results. The German champions have set a high standard of dominance this past decade that is hard for them to match so far this season. A small patch of unsatisfactory results has already taken many into a frenzy.
Harsh critics should consider the impact of the recent tactical changes. The manager and the players should be allowed a period to adapt. The circumstances in Munich must be reviewed in a couple of months if the scenery does not change. Until then, patience is crucial.
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